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SUPPORTING ACTRESSAmy Adams,
The Master
Sally Field,
LincolnAnne Hathaway,
Les MiserablesHelen Hunt,
The SessionsJacki Weaver,
Silver Linings Playbook
Will win: Hathaway, no contest. Unless... do voters want to reward Sally Field for some reason? Maybe she let them crash on her couch recently, or made them a nice quiche? No, right? It has to be Hathaway.
Should win: Unless you straight-up despise
Les Miserables on general principle, it's hard to argue with Hathaway, whose performance doesn't include a mic-dropping "Hathaway out," but might as well have. That said, I'd probably keep the nonexistent
Master train rolling and check off Amy Adams. Homegirl is on her fourth Supporting Actress nomination and has deserved to win most of those times. At this point, she's clearly paving the way for a Best Actress win in 2015 or so, probably for some biopic bullshit.
Missing: This is often and unfortunately a relatively thin category, which explains how Jacki Weaver can get in just for being sweet and likable in
Silver Linings. I can't think of any real contenders who I was sad to see passed over, so I'll move straight to fantasy: I thought Lizzy Caplan was quite good in
Bachelorette. (Responds everyone I know: of course you did, Jesse.)